Nik Lentz vs Rob Emerson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
30-12-2Record21-15-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Nik Lentz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Rob Emerson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1676
If they lose-18→ 1652
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-8→ 1468
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nik LentzRob Emerson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nik Lentz78%
Rob Emerson 22%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Nik Lentz a 78% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Nik Lentz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1476, a 194-point edge.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.