Nik Lentz vs Scott Holtzman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-12-2Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamShield Systems
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nik LentzScott Holtzman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nik Lentz56%
Scott Holtzman 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nik Lentz a 56% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1665), separated by just 5 points.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.
Nik Lentz and Scott Holtzman share 1 common opponent: Michael McBride.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.