Nik Lentz vs Shamidkhan Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-12-2Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach71.5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nik LentzShamidkhan Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamidkhan Magomedov72%
Nik Lentz 28%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamidkhan Magomedov a 72% favorite over Nik Lentz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1680), separated by just 10 points.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shamidkhan Magomedov 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.