Nik Lentz vs Will Brooks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
30-12-2Record26-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Will Brooks is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nik Lentz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1685
If they lose-9→ 1661
If they win+9→ 1772
If they lose-15→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nik LentzWill Brooks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Will Brooks78%
Nik Lentz 22%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Will Brooks a 78% favorite over Nik Lentz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Will Brooks holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1670, a 93-point edge.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Will Brooks enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Nik Lentz finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Will Brooks 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.