Nik Lentz vs Will Brooks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-12-2Record26-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Will Brooks is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nik Lentz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1681
If they lose-9→ 1657
If they win+9→ 1775
If they lose-15→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nik LentzWill Brooks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Will Brooks60%
Nik Lentz 40%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Will Brooks a 60% favorite over Nik Lentz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Will Brooks holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1666, a 100-point edge.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Will Brooks enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Nik Lentz finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Will Brooks 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.