Nikita Krylov vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-0Record24-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
77"Reach79"
215 lbsWeight205 lbs
Raty Team· 1668 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Spann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1704
If they lose-11→ 1680
If they win+11→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nikita KrylovRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Spann51%
Nikita Krylov 49%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 51% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ryan Spann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1691, a 19-point edge.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nikita Krylov finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Nikita Krylov and Ryan Spann share 2 common opponents: Bogdan Guskov and Dominick Reyes.
Ryan Spann carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.