Nikita Krylov vs Soa Palelei
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-0Record22-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
77"ReachTBD
215 lbsWeight265 lbs
Raty TeamTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Soa Palelei is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-10→ 1681
If they win+10→ 1746
If they lose-14→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nikita KrylovSoa Palelei
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov70%
Soa Palelei 30%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 70% favorite over Soa Palelei in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Soa Palelei's way (44%).
Soa Palelei holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1691, a 45-point edge.
Nikita Krylov finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.