Nikita Krylov vs Valentin Moldavsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-0Record15-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77"Reach75"
215 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nikita KrylovValentin Moldavsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentin Moldavsky56%
Nikita Krylov 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentin Moldavsky a 56% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.
Nikita Krylov finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.
Nikita Krylov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.