Nikita Krylov vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77"Reach75"
215 lbsWeight206 lbs
Raty TeamTeamFight Move Academy
What's at stake
Volkan Oezdemir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1704
If they lose-11→ 1680
If they win+15→ 1734
If they lose-17→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nikita KrylovVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov53%
Volkan Oezdemir 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 53% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Volkan Oezdemir's way (46%).
Volkan Oezdemir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1691, a 28-point edge.
Nikita Krylov finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Nikita Krylov and Volkan Oezdemir share 4 common opponents: Bogdan Guskov, Paul Craig, Magomed Ankalaev and Johnny Walker.
Nikita Krylov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.