Nikita Krylov vs Will Fleury
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-0Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
215 lbsWeight238 lbs
Raty Team· avg 1674 EloTeamSBG Ireland· avg 1632 Elo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nikita KrylovWill Fleury
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Will Fleury60%
Nikita Krylov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Will Fleury a 60% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.
Nikita Krylov finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.