Niklas Backstrom vs Ryan Cafaro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record15-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Niklas BackstromRyan Cafaro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Cafaro59%
Niklas Backstrom 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Cafaro a 59% favorite over Niklas Backstrom in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.
Niklas Backstrom enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Niklas Backstrom finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Cafaro 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.