Niklas Backstrom vs Tom Niinimaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record22-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFinnfighters' Gym
What's at stake
Tom Niinimaki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Niklas Backstrom carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1628
If they lose-15→ 1596
If they win+11→ 1639
If they lose-13→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Niklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Niinimaki54%
Niklas Backstrom 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Niinimaki a 54% favorite over Niklas Backstrom in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Tom Niinimaki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1611, a 17-point edge.
Niklas Backstrom enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Niklas Backstrom finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tom Niinimaki 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.