Combat Edge Intelligence

Niklas Backstrom vs Tom Niinimaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tom Niinimaki
fi

Tom Niinimaki

“Stoneface”

22-8-1FeatherweightEuroFC

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record22-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamFinnfighters' Gym

What's at stake

Tom Niinimaki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Niklas Backstrom carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Niklas BackstromNow 1606
If they win+17→ 1623
If they lose-15→ 1591
Tom NiinimakiNow 1626
If they win+11→ 1637
If they lose-13→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.12
Sig. strikes / min
1.91
42%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
40%
Strike defense
58%
2.92
Takedown avg.
2.97
80%
Takedown accuracy
46%
73%
Takedown defense
33%
2.19
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Niklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
16001650201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
4 (36%)
Submission
8 (36%)
3 (27%)
Decision
7 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Niklas Backstrom60%
Tom Niinimaki 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Backstrom a 60% favorite over Tom Niinimaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom Niinimaki's way (47%).

Tom Niinimaki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1606, a 20-point edge.

Niklas Backstrom enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Niklas Backstrom finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tom Niinimaki 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.