Niklas Stolze vs Paul Creighton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'6"
74"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-16→ 1509
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Niklas StolzePaul Creighton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Creighton56%
Niklas Stolze 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Creighton a 56% favorite over Niklas Stolze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1526), separated by just 1 points.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Paul Creighton 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.