Niklas Stolze vs Paul Kelly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record15-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight169 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Kaobon
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Niklas StolzePaul Kelly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Stolze60%
Paul Kelly 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Stolze a 60% favorite over Paul Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Kelly's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1534), separated by just 8 points.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Paul Kelly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Paul Kelly 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.