Niklas Stolze vs Yusuke Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach-
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG Ireland· avg 1632 EloTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-16→ 1509
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Niklas StolzeYusuke Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yusuke Sato51%
Niklas Stolze 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yusuke Sato a 51% favorite over Niklas Stolze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1527), separated by just 2 points.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze finishes 79% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.