Combat Edge Intelligence

Niklas Stolze vs Zach Underwood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niklas Stolze
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Niklas Stolze

“Green Mask”

14-10-0WelterweightOKMMA

1526Average

Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record13-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Niklas StolzeNow 1526
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Zach UnderwoodNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0.66
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.66
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Niklas StolzeZach Underwood
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
5 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (21%)
Decision
10 (77%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Niklas Stolze and Zach Underwood within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1534), separated by just 8 points.

Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Niklas Stolze finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Zach Underwood 23%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.