Niko Price vs Nikolay Veretennikov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price55%
Nikolay Veretennikov 45%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 55% favorite over Nikolay Veretennikov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nikolay Veretennikov's way (48%).
Nikolay Veretennikov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1638, a 15-point edge.
Niko Price finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Veretennikov 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record14-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach 75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Futures MMATeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Nikolay Veretennikov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1651
If they lose-11→ 1627
If they win+15→ 1668
If they lose-17→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Niko PriceNikolay Veretennikov