Niko Price vs Phil Rowe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-11-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Futures MMATeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
If they win+15→ 1653
If they lose-17→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Niko PricePhil Rowe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Rowe60%
Niko Price 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Rowe a 60% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1638), separated by just 14 points.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Niko Price finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.
Phil Rowe carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.