Combat Edge Intelligence

Niko Price vs Themba Gorimbo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niko Price
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Niko Price

“The Hybrid”

16-11-0WelterweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

16-11-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
76"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Futures MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Niko Price is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Themba Gorimbo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Niko PriceNow 1623
If they win+11→ 1634
If they lose-13→ 1610
Themba GorimboNow 1608
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
43%
Strike accuracy
61%
5.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.32
48%
Strike defense
52%
0.98
Takedown avg.
5.07
28%
Takedown accuracy
66%
50%
Takedown defense
73%
0.62
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Niko PriceThemba Gorimbo
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
3 (19%)
Submission
6 (43%)
3 (19%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Niko Price and Themba Gorimbo within a point of even.

Niko Price holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1608, a 15-point edge.

Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Niko Price finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.

Niko Price and Themba Gorimbo share 1 common opponent: Vicente Luque.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2020
Vicente Luque
LossTechnical Submission · 2024