Niko Price vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-11-0Record24-12-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Futures MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Vicente Luque is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1638
If they lose-9→ 1614
If they win+9→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Niko PriceVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Luque73%
Niko Price 27%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Luque a 73% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Vicente Luque holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1623, a 100-point edge.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Niko Price finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Niko Price and Vicente Luque share 2 common opponents: Michael Chiesa and Themba Gorimbo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.