Combat Edge Intelligence

Niko Samsonidse vs Tony Sims

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tony Sims
us

Tony Sims

“2.0”

12-4-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
-Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Niko SamsonidseNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Tony SimsNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
63%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.76
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.71
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Niko SamsonidseTony Sims
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
10 (83%)
7 (54%)
Submission
2 (17%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Samsonidse66%
Tony Sims 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Samsonidse a 66% favorite over Tony Sims in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.

Tony Sims enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Niko Samsonidse finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tony Sims 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.