Nikolay Aleksakhin vs Patrik Kincl
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-11-0Record30-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nikolay AleksakhinPatrik Kincl
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrik Kincl60%
Nikolay Aleksakhin 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Kincl a 60% favorite over Nikolay Aleksakhin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1701), separated by just 1 points.
Patrik Kincl enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nikolay Aleksakhin finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Kincl 72%.
Patrik Kincl carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.