Combat Edge Intelligence

Nikolay Veretennikov vs Peter Sobotta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record17-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kings MMATeamPlanet Eater

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nikolay VeretennikovNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Peter SobottaNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
57%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
45%
Strike defense
59%
0.42
Takedown avg.
1.53
17%
Takedown accuracy
32%
63%
Takedown defense
78%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Nikolay VeretennikovPeter Sobotta
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
1 (7%)
Submission
10 (59%)
3 (21%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikolay Veretennikov62%
Peter Sobotta 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikolay Veretennikov a 62% favorite over Peter Sobotta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nikolay Veretennikov finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Peter Sobotta 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.