Nina Nunes vs Sofia Montenegro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record6-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
64"Reach67"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamAlfa Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nina NunesSofia Montenegro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sofia Montenegro70%
Nina Nunes 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sofia Montenegro a 70% favorite over Nina Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nina Nunes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.
Nina Nunes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Sofia Montenegro 67%.
Sofia Montenegro carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.