Nkosi Ndebele vs Tommy Morrisson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record12-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
75"Reach67.1"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova MMA AcademyTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690
If they win+17→ 1713
If they lose-15→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nkosi NdebeleTommy Morrisson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nkosi Ndebele and Tommy Morrisson within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1696), separated by just 11 points.
Nkosi Ndebele enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Nkosi Ndebele finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 25%.
Nkosi Ndebele carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.