Noah Gugnon vs Umakhan Ibragimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record11-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
68"Reach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bulgarian Top Team· 1640 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Noah GugnonUmakhan Ibragimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Umakhan Ibragimov52%
Noah Gugnon 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Umakhan Ibragimov a 52% favorite over Noah Gugnon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Noah Gugnon's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1672), separated by just 0 points.
Noah Gugnon enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Noah Gugnon finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Umakhan Ibragimov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.