Nobuhiro Obiya vs Rustam Asuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-1Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight149 lbs
Kiguchi DojoTeamFight Club Berkut
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nobuhiro ObiyaRustam Asuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Asuev63%
Nobuhiro Obiya 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 63% favorite over Nobuhiro Obiya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1622), separated by just 1 points.
Nobuhiro Obiya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nobuhiro Obiya finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.