Combat Edge Intelligence

Nolan Ticman vs Teruto Ishihara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record14-14-3
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nolan TicmanNow 1507
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Teruto IshiharaNow 1507
If they win+12→ 1519
If they lose-12→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
48%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
68%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.50
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
60%
Takedown defense
31%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nolan TicmanTeruto Ishihara
150015502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
11 (79%)
2 (50%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (25%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nolan Ticman and Teruto Ishihara within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1507), separated by just 0 points.

Nolan Ticman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nolan Ticman finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Teruto Ishihara 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.