Nolan Ticman vs Yao Zhikui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record5-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach64.00
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Nolan Ticman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Yao Zhikui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1527
If they lose-28→ 1479
If they win+28→ 1476
If they lose-20→ 1428
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nolan TicmanYao Zhikui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nolan Ticman59%
Yao Zhikui 41%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Nolan Ticman a 59% favorite over Yao Zhikui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Nolan Ticman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1507 to 1448, a 59-point edge.
Nolan Ticman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yao Zhikui enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nolan Ticman finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Yao Zhikui 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.