Combat Edge Intelligence

Nonato Junior vs Randy Mboyo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-13-1Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach-
161 lbsWeight157 lbs
Gameness Fight ClubTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nonato JuniorNow 1532
If they win+12→ 1544
If they lose-12→ 1520
Randy MboyoNow 1536
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nonato JuniorRandy Mboyo
1450150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
16 (84%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Mboyo52%
Nonato Junior 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Mboyo a 52% favorite over Nonato Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1532 vs 1536), separated by just 4 points.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nonato Junior finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Randy Mboyo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.