Combat Edge Intelligence

Nonato Junior vs Sam Liera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Liera
us

Sam Liera

“The Caveman”

14-11-0WelterweightSG

1529Average

Tale of the tape

19-13-1Record14-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nonato JuniorNow 1532
If they win+12→ 1544
If they lose-12→ 1520
Sam LieraNow 1529
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nonato JuniorSam Liera
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
16 (84%)
Submission
5 (36%)
2 (11%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Nonato Junior63%
Sam Liera 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 63% favorite over Sam Liera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1532 vs 1529), separated by just 3 points.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sam Liera enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nonato Junior finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Sam Liera 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.