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Combat Edge Intelligence

Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Ryan Gandra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Gandra
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Ryan Gandra

“Problema”

11-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1712Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamFlavio Baiano Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Norbert Novenyi Jr.Now 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Ryan GandraNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
11.71
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
Not available
Strike defense
74%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Norbert Novenyi Jr.Ryan Gandra
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
5 (45%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Norbert Novenyi Jr.51%
Ryan Gandra 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Novenyi Jr. a 51% favorite over Ryan Gandra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Gandra's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1712), separated by just 4 points.

Norbert Novenyi Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ryan Gandra enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Norbert Novenyi Jr. finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.