Norbert Pietrzak vs Rob MacDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record5-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight230 lbs
Pro-Core HQTeamFranco Behring
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1576
If they lose-25→ 1528
If they win+25→ 1567
If they lose-23→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Norbert PietrzakRob MacDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norbert Pietrzak79%
Rob MacDonald 21%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Pietrzak a 79% favorite over Rob MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1542), separated by just 11 points.
Rob MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Norbert Pietrzak finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rob MacDonald 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.