Combat Edge Intelligence

Nordine Taleb vs Warlley Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record14-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74,5"Reach72,0"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
Tristar GymTeamRizzo RVT

What's at stake

Nordine Taleb is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Warlley Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nordine TalebNow 1651
If they win+15→ 1666
If they lose-17→ 1634
Warlley AlvesNow 1625
If they win+17→ 1642
If they lose-15→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
51%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.95
67%
Strike defense
51%
1.94
Takedown avg.
1.22
76%
Takedown accuracy
50%
74%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Nordine TalebWarlley Alves
165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (43%)
8 (53%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Nordine Taleb51%
Warlley Alves 49%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Nordine Taleb a 51% favorite over Warlley Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Nordine Taleb holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1625, a 26-point edge.

Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Nordine Taleb finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Warlley Alves 71%.

Nordine Taleb carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.