Combat Edge Intelligence

Norifumi Yamamoto vs Shane Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Krazy BeeTeamShaolin Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Norifumi YamamotoNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Shane CampbellNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.09
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
45%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
57%
Strike defense
55%
0.41
Takedown avg.
1.36
22%
Takedown accuracy
29%
45%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Norifumi YamamotoShane Campbell
16501700175020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (72%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
2 (11%)
Submission
6 (25%)
3 (17%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Campbell70%
Norifumi Yamamoto 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 70% favorite over Norifumi Yamamoto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Norifumi Yamamoto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.

Norifumi Yamamoto enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Norifumi Yamamoto finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.