Combat Edge Intelligence

Norifumi Yamamoto vs Vaughan Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record14-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Krazy BeeTeamUTC Birmingham

What's at stake

Norifumi Yamamoto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Vaughan Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Norifumi YamamotoNow 1652
If they win+10→ 1662
If they lose-22→ 1630
Vaughan LeeNow 1507
If they win+17→ 1524
If they lose-7→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.09
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
57%
Strike defense
70%
0.41
Takedown avg.
0.81
22%
Takedown accuracy
33%
45%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
1.01

Trajectory

Norifumi YamamotoVaughan Lee
150016001700201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

13 (72%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
2 (11%)
Submission
7 (50%)
3 (17%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Norifumi Yamamoto64%
Vaughan Lee 36%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Norifumi Yamamoto a 64% favorite over Vaughan Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Norifumi Yamamoto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1507, a 145-point edge.

Norifumi Yamamoto enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Vaughan Lee enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Norifumi Yamamoto finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Vaughan Lee 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.