Combat Edge Intelligence

Nurbek Abdykadyrov vs Rodrigo Damm

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record12-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
-Reach71"
147 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nurbek AbdykadyrovNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Rodrigo DammNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nurbek AbdykadyrovRodrigo Damm
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
1 (14%)
Submission
6 (50%)
3 (43%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurbek Abdykadyrov62%
Rodrigo Damm 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurbek Abdykadyrov a 62% favorite over Rodrigo Damm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.

Rodrigo Damm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nurbek Abdykadyrov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Damm 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.