Nurkhan Zhumagazy vs Roberto de Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record21-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Turan OrdaTeamBonsai Jiu-Jitsu· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nurkhan ZhumagazyRoberto de Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nurkhan Zhumagazy63%
Roberto de Souza 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nurkhan Zhumagazy a 63% favorite over Roberto de Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roberto de Souza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1711), separated by just 1 points.
Nurkhan Zhumagazy enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Nurkhan Zhumagazy finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Roberto de Souza 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.