Nursulton Ruziboev vs Royce Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-9-2Record15-2-3
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'0"
76"Reach--
170 lbsWeight176 lbs
UZB PatriotTeamGracie Humaita
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nursulton RuziboevRoyce Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nursulton Ruziboev62%
Royce Gracie 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 62% favorite over Royce Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1726), separated by just 0 points.
Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nursulton Ruziboev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Royce Gracie 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.