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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nurullo Aliev vs Paul Felder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Felder
us

Paul Felder

“The Irish Dragon”

17-6-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kaizen MMATeamRoufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nurullo AlievNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Paul FelderNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
55%
Strike defense
49%
3.48
Takedown avg.
0.29
10%
Takedown accuracy
29%
80%
Takedown defense
65%
0.46
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Nurullo AlievPaul Felder
17001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
10 (83%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev56%
Paul Felder 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 56% favorite over Paul Felder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1734), separated by just 0 points.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nurullo Aliev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.

Nurullo Aliev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.