Combat Edge Intelligence

Nurullo Aliev vs Rafael Fiziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kaizen MMATeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nurullo AlievNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717
Rafael FizievNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.29
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
55%
Strike defense
50%
3.48
Takedown avg.
0.83
10%
Takedown accuracy
67%
80%
Takedown defense
90%
0.46
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nurullo AlievRafael Fiziev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
10 (83%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev53%
Rafael Fiziev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 53% favorite over Rafael Fiziev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1731), separated by just 2 points.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Nurullo Aliev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.