Nurullo Aliev vs Sidney Outlaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record23-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kaizen MMATeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nurullo AlievSidney Outlaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sidney Outlaw53%
Nurullo Aliev 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sidney Outlaw a 53% favorite over Nurullo Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1737), separated by just 2 points.
Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Sidney Outlaw enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Nurullo Aliev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Sidney Outlaw 52%.
Sidney Outlaw carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.