Oban Elliott vs Rory Markham
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record17-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight177 lbs
Shore MMATeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Oban ElliottRory Markham
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oban Elliott62%
Rory Markham 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 62% favorite over Rory Markham in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rory Markham's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.
Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Oban Elliott finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rory Markham 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.