Oban Elliott vs Shimon Smotritsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Shore MMATeamMoshik Box
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Oban ElliottShimon Smotritsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oban Elliott61%
Shimon Smotritsky 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 61% favorite over Shimon Smotritsky in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shimon Smotritsky's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Shimon Smotritsky enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Oban Elliott finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shimon Smotritsky 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.