Combat Edge Intelligence

Oban Elliott vs Subaru Mori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oban Elliott
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Oban Elliott

“The Welsh Gangster”

12-5-0WelterweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Shore MMATeamThe Blackbelt Japan· avg 1682 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Oban ElliottNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Subaru MoriNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.62
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
1.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
15%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
52%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Oban ElliottSubaru Mori
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
3 (25%)
Submission
3 (50%)
6 (50%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Oban Elliott and Subaru Mori within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.

Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Subaru Mori enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Oban Elliott finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Subaru Mori 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.