Oban Elliott vs Val Woodburn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record7-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach74.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Shore MMATeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Oban Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Val Woodburn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1643
If they lose-23→ 1611
If they win+35→ 1505
If they lose-13→ 1457
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Oban ElliottVal Woodburn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oban Elliott76%
Val Woodburn 24%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 76% favorite over Val Woodburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Oban Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1470, a 164-point edge.
Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Val Woodburn enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Oban Elliott finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Val Woodburn 71%.
Val Woodburn carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.