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Combat Edge Intelligence

Oban Elliott vs Yoshiyuki Yoshida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oban Elliott
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Oban Elliott

“The Welsh Gangster”

12-5-0WelterweightUFC

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record18-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Shore MMATeamRight Thing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Oban ElliottNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Yoshiyuki YoshidaNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.62
Sig. strikes / min
0.85
48%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
61%
Strike defense
36%
1.52
Takedown avg.
1.41
15%
Takedown accuracy
29%
52%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
2.82

Trajectory

Oban ElliottYoshiyuki Yoshida
16501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
3 (25%)
Submission
6 (35%)
6 (50%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Oban Elliott69%
Yoshiyuki Yoshida 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 69% favorite over Yoshiyuki Yoshida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.

Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Oban Elliott finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yoshiyuki Yoshida 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.