Combat Edge Intelligence

Ode Osbourne vs Steve Erceg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ode Osbourne
us

Ode Osbourne

“The Jamaican Sensation”

13-9-0FlyweightUFC

1591Solid
Steve Erceg
au

Steve Erceg

“Astro Boy”

14-4-0FlyweightUFC

1705Good

Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record14-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'8"
73"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Waukesha MMATeamWilkes Martial Arts

What's at stake

Steve Erceg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ode Osbourne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ode OsbourneNow 1591
If they win+21→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1580
Steve ErcegNow 1705
If they win+11→ 1716
If they lose-21→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
41%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
49%
Strike defense
56%
0.94
Takedown avg.
1.13
0%
Takedown accuracy
28%
67%
Takedown defense
67%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Ode OsbourneSteve Erceg
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
4 (31%)
Submission
6 (43%)
3 (23%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Erceg77%
Ode Osbourne 23%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 77% favorite over Ode Osbourne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Steve Erceg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1591, a 114-point edge.

Ode Osbourne enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steve Erceg enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ode Osbourne finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.

Ode Osbourne carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.