Combat Edge Intelligence

Olaf Alfonso vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-12-0Record6-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
TeamblooM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Olaf AlfonsoNow 1472
If they win+16→ 1488
If they lose-16→ 1456
Taisei MizusugiNow 1470
If they win+16→ 1486
If they lose-16→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.63
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
26%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
37%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
22%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.63
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Olaf AlfonsoTaisei Mizusugi
140014501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi75%
Olaf Alfonso 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 75% favorite over Olaf Alfonso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Olaf Alfonso's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1470), separated by just 2 points.

Olaf Alfonso enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Olaf Alfonso finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.