AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Oleg Popov vs Vadim Nemkov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-2-0Record20-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75.5"Reach76"
250 lbsWeight242 lbs
FedorTeam· 1773 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFedorTeam· 1773 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Vadim Nemkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Oleg Popov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Oleg PopovNow 1802
If they win+13→ 1815
If they lose-11→ 1791
Vadim NemkovNow 1820
If they win+15→ 1835
If they lose-17→ 1803

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Oleg PopovVadim Nemkov
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (39%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
3 (13%)
Submission
6 (30%)
11 (48%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Vadim Nemkov53%
Oleg Popov 47%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Vadim Nemkov a 53% favorite over Oleg Popov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Vadim Nemkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1820 to 1802, a 18-point edge.

Oleg Popov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Vadim Nemkov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Oleg Popov finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Vadim Nemkov 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.