Oleg Taktarov vs Steven Asplund
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-2Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'5"
TBDReach78"
210 lbsWeight261 lbs
Freelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMcCune's Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Oleg TaktarovSteven Asplund
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Asplund60%
Oleg Taktarov 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 60% favorite over Oleg Taktarov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oleg Taktarov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1644), separated by just 6 points.
Oleg Taktarov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Oleg Taktarov finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.